I asked an AI 10 times who would win the 2022 World Cup and his answer was clear

news material I asked an AI 10 times who would win the 2022 World Cup and his answer was clear

The 2022 FIFA World Cup is about to start in Qatar. Forecasters on all sides are on fire, and, of course, artificial intelligence is on board. Dozens of AIs can be used to simulate football matches: at jeuxvideo.com, we obviously used that of FIFA.

World Cup 2022: AIs go there with their predictions

Before detailing my results obtained by running the FIFA 23 AI 10 times, let’s take stock of the predictions from the 2 major algorithms around the 2022 football world cup.

The most elaborate AI on the market is undeniably the one developed by Opted analyst. To tell you the truth, I thought I was going to use Opta’s artificial intelligence to support this article… but I didn’t realize the level of professionalism of this algorithm. Indeed, to try this premium tool, you have to pay $20,000. We are far from a small free browser gadget that runs without using any resources.

Fortunately, Opta has already done the job for us and made it public! By running its script 1000 times, here is the data obtained by Opta Analyst.

Few surprises: Neymar’s Brazil and Messi’s Argentina are the two big favorites for the coronation.

The other most popular AI is from EA Sport, publisher of FIFA 23. This is the one I ran myself yesterday afternoon. It may seem silly to go through a video game, but, in reality, FIFA is a simulation game full of relevant stats. FIFA’s artificial intelligence simulates matches quite finely (while keeping a part of randomness, like real football), taking into account the state of form of the players, the training of the coaches, the behavior of the different individuals…

Proof of FIFA’s effectiveness in predicting the winners of the World Cup: EA has not been wrong in the last 3 editions. Solid, isn’t it?

According to Electronic Arts, this would be theArgentine who will win the title, seconded by Brazil. France, it would end its world campaign on the podium by replaying the final of Euro 2016 during the match for 3rd place. A final square quite consistent with Opta’s analyses! Here is the official simulation from EA:

On to my own experiments! Of the 10 simulated World Cups, I obtained the following results:

  • 1. Argentina: 30% (3 wins)
  • 2. Brazil: 20% (2 wins)
  • 3. France: 20% (2 wins)
  • 4. Spain: 20% (2 wins)
  • 5. England: 10% (1 victory)

We are still in the same vein: the list of favorites is clear and clean. In the absence of Kanté and Pogba and with the famous curse of the defending champions, we hope that France will be able to achieve such results!

Beyond the funny game of predictions and AI, it is complicated to write an article on the World Cup in Qatar without mentioning the polemics who accompany him. Many people are calling for a boycott of the competition because of the host country’s lack of concern for both human rights and contemporary ecological considerations.

While Qatar obtained the rights to the competition in a more than dubious way, the organization of the most important championship of all was done at the expense of the lives of 4,500 migrants in order to build the stadiums and other infrastructure. Infrastructures, which it should be remembered, are fully air-conditioned… even outdoors.

Just yesterday, while I was having fun on my little simulation, social networks were on fire again. TikTok, Instagram and Twitter have seen a slew of videos denouncing a new manipulation of Doha. These videos show supporters coming from all over the world to cheer for their countries. Supporters? Not really.

It is quite obvious for all Internet users that the people put forward by the Qatari government are, once again, migrants surely paid (or not) to be fake supporters and create a fake hype.

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